How long will Biden last?

Serious question. Will he …

1. Serve out his full term and run for re-election?
2. Serve out his full term but not run for re-election?
3. Resign in 2024?
4. Resign in 2023?
5. Resign in 2022?

It’s very clear that he’s in trouble.

He’s playing to the worst, most extreme part of his base, and he’s not getting anything done. His administration is widely considered incompetent at best, and extremely partisan. His speech in Georgia was disgraceful, and he’s so toxic that Stacey Abrams didn’t even meet with him. And that was before his ridiculous speech!

If he had a popular vice president, there would be pressure on him to resign, but since Harris is very unpopular, Democrats are in trouble. What do they do with Biden?

The best scenario for the country would be that some grown-ups would intervene and push Biden towards the center. But who would that be? Not Pelosi or Schumer, who are possibly more partisan than Biden.

And that’s the other problem for Democrats. They don’t have a bench. There’s nobody of any stature waiting in the wings. It’s so bad they’re even talking of bringing Hillary back.

The most likely scenario is a long, lame-duck presidency. Republicans will capture Congress in 2022, and the presidency in 2024.

It would be nice to believe that after the Republicans take the Congress in 2022, Biden will come towards the center, the way Bill Clinton did after the 1994 election. That is the best scenario for the country.

Failing that, the best scenario would be a lame-duck presidency for the rest of Biden’s term, and the rise of some dark-horse Democratic candidate who can bill himself as a moderate, and the new leader of the Democratic party. I’m not sure who that could be.

Another option — not likely — would be to bring in Hillary in some key cabinet position, and have her become the de facto face of the administration.

Russell Brand takes down Ted Cruz

This is very interesting. It starts off with some thoughts about Jan. 6, and how it’s being used to crack down on dissent in general, but later in the video Brand does some hilarious commentary on Tucker Carlson’s interview with Ted Cruz.

I would suggest that Cruz used the word “terrorist” in the typical cowardly Republican way — to go along with the demands of the left rather than having the guts to tell them to go soak their heads.

Evolution by random mutation has always bugged me

The version of evolution I was taught said random mutations are the engine of change for evolution. Natural selection picks which version survives.

I have never been comfortable with that model. I have long felt there’s something much deeper and more mysterious going on — that mutations are controlled or directed at some level — but it’s never interested me enough to spend any time trying to figure it out. I figured somebody would come up with a more reasonable theory eventually.

Maybe this is a step in the right direction. Study challenges evolutionary theory that DNA mutations are random

It turns out that mutation is very non-random and it’s non-random in a way that benefits the plant. It’s a totally new way of thinking about mutation.