The “this is an emergency” plague

Bret Weinstein, on the Dark Horse podcast he does with his wife, mentioned a very interesting study that shows how scarcity causes hyper-sensitivity.

The alleged evolutionary purpose goes something like this. When there are tons of berries, your brain doesn’t have to strain that hard to find berries. You set your perception to a fairly perfect model of a berry. When there are lots, that works fine, but you might overlook some that are small, the wrong color, etc. When berries are scarce, you need to adjust your perception and be willing to get the berries that are farther from the norm. When they get scarcer still, you look even more carefully, and you might mistake a colorful leaf for a berry, because you don’t want to miss something that might possibly be a berry.

The application to modern life ties in to the phenomenon we’ve all seen. When racism (sexism, etc.) is obvious and blatant, you don’t have to be too discerning to find it. As it becomes scarcer, you have to look harder. You start to find it under every rock. You come up with crazy theories to explain how the most innocent things are racist and sexist.

We can also see this when well-fed, healthy, materially successful protesters holding up signs saying “this is an emergency.”

Emergencies are scarce these days. The Hun is not at the door. There is plenty of food at the grocery store. Wolves and Nazis and saber-toothed cats are not prowling the streets. We have it — in historical context — amazingly good.

The scarcity of emergencies is making us find emergencies in ridiculous places.

A few thoughts on the election

  • Trump seems to have beaten expectations, but not by as much as I expected. Some people believe it could have been called for Trump last night, but … we can wait.
  • While I sympathize with people who want to be able to get the results on election day, I don’t see why it’s all that important. In the early days of the country you probably had to wait weeks or months to get the results.
  • The reluctance to call some states seems suspicious to me — not that I’m an expert on that process — and I suspect there will be legal fights in the states that are close, and there will be accusations of cheating, of “finding votes” at the last minute, etc.
  • Whatever ham-handed thing Trump says about this, it will be mischaracterized in the media. Count on it.

Looking back on this election cycle, I think everyone has to admit that their negative feelings towards the other side are at least in part based on lies and exaggerations. For example, Trump never said white supremacists were “very fine people,” although a lot of people believe that, and while Biden is showing signs of age, he is not senile.

We need to be on our guard against such manipulations.