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“More likely than not” standard means men shouldn’t go to college

by Greg Krehbiel on 16 June 2014

SB 967 would require schools to take disciplinary action against all students deemed more likely to have committed a sexual offense than not.

See Should Guilt and Innocence Matter On Campus? California date rape bill creates a consent muddle.

If you’re an advocate for some cause, you want to find scary statistics to show why everybody else should be concerned about your cause or, better yet, give you money to fight for it. This tends to result in “statistics inflation.” Suddenly an enormous percentage of people are said to have X, do Y, or suffer under Z.

Sexual assault is a bad thing and should be prosecuted, but everybody who can do simple math knows that the numbers that are trotted out to justify the latest bill or policy change are a bunch of nonsense.

To address the problem of sexual assault, campuses across America are shutting down co-ed dorms and not allowing men into women’s dorms (or vice versa) after 10:00.

I’m joking, of course. That’s what they would do if they had any sense.

Rather, under pressure from the Obama administration they are enforcing ridiculous standards for their investigations into complaints of sexual harassment. A college student is no longer guilty until proven innocent. The new standard is “more likely than not.”

But if you believe the statistics the advocates give us, something like 1 in 5 men are guilty of sexual harassment. With a little bit of work (trimming off the under 12 and over 60 crowd, taking a few surveys and talking up the dangerous effects of testosterone in young men) you could probably “prove” that it’s more like 5 out of 9 when you’re talking about college boys.

So once this “more likely than not” standard is in place, won’t college boys be presumed guilty?

-- 2014-06-16  »  Greg Krehbiel

Talkback x 2

  1. smitemouth
    18 June 2014 @ 4:54 pm

    It’s ridiculous how far the pendulum has swung. If two undergrads get drunk and end up doing the deed, if the female regrets it the next day she can cry rape. If the male regrets it the next day, it’s “you know you wanted it.”

    What I want to know is if a gay female upperclasswoman preys on a female underclasswoman and gets her drunk, it’s really not possible for it to be rape is it, because it was two women? And, if a gay upperclassman preys on a male underclassman, gets him drunk, and takes advantage, is it two cases of rape? Each to be charged with rape?

  2. Greg Krehbiel Greg Krehbiel
    18 June 2014 @ 6:10 pm

    It will get dicey. Who knows how our robed masters will decide such things.

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